Titans Seek Upset Against Ravens in Week 4 Clash

Titans vs. Ravens: Game Overview

The Tennessee Titans (0-3) will face off against the Baltimore Ravens (2-1) in Week 4 of the NFL season. The matchup is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland, and will be broadcast live on CBS.

Betting Odds and Predictions

The Ravens enter the game as 11.5-point favorites over the Titans, with the total points set at 42.5. Baltimore’s moneyline stands at -800, while Tennessee is a +560 underdog.

Best Bet: Titans +11.5

For this matchup, my recommendation is to take the Titans to cover the spread, with the best odds currently available at FanDuel. To ensure you get the best betting prices, check our live NFL odds page and consider downloading the Action Network app for additional insights and analysis.

Current Form and Challenges

Despite the Titans’ struggles this season, where they have averaged only 12.3 points per game and have punted nearly 60% of their offensive possessions, there are indicators suggesting they could perform better in this game. Notably, they have not yet led in any game this season.

Statistical trends support the Titans; winless teams entering Week 4 as underdogs have historically covered the spread 59.2% of the time, a figure that rises to 62.1% over the last decade. Furthermore, winless road underdogs have a 64.3% success rate against the spread in Week 4.

Offensive Matchup Insights

The Ravens’ defense has not been particularly formidable this season, ranking 19th in expected points added (EPA) per play, while the Titans’ offense is slightly behind at 22nd. However, the Titans may find success running the ball, especially with Tony Pollard, who has averaged 4.5 yards per carry and ranks in the top 10 for yards after contact among running backs.

In contrast, Derrick Henry has struggled, averaging just 3.4 yards per carry in his last game. The Titans’ offensive line is facing challenges, particularly with Ronnie Stanley’s injury and a rookie center, Vega Ioane, set to face All-Pro defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons.

Defensive Strategies

For the Titans to remain competitive, they need to force Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson into long down-and-distance situations. The Titans’ defense is ranked 10th in limiting explosive plays this season, which could be crucial in keeping the game close.

Although containing Jackson is a formidable task, a few timely defensive stops could make a significant difference, allowing the Titans to focus on ball control.

Historical Trends to Consider

Backing a struggling team like the Titans isn’t easy, but historical data suggests they may have a chance. Notably, Lamar Jackson’s Ravens have struggled against the spread after a win, covering only 33.3% of the time in his last 18 starts following a victory.

Based on these trends and performance metrics, I recommend taking the Titans down to +11.

Pick: Titans +11.5 (-106, FanDuel | Play to +11)

Source Reference (sports.yahoo.com): Titans vs Ravens Prediction, Pick, Odds for NFL Week 4